Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000918 0.001043 0.001174 0.001323 0.001486 0.001659 0.001856
2025-03-02 0.000730 0.000905 0.001102 0.001339 0.001614 0.001921 0.002289
2025-03-09 0.000602 0.000793 0.001019 0.001301 0.001640 0.002032 0.002516
2025-03-16 0.000503 0.000703 0.000947 0.001264 0.001659 0.002128 0.002722
2025-03-23 0.000441 0.000648 0.000911 0.001262 0.001711 0.002257 0.002964
2025-03-30 0.000391 0.000602 0.000880 0.001261 0.001761 0.002382 0.003201
2025-04-06 0.000345 0.000557 0.000844 0.001249 0.001793 0.002482 0.003406
2025-04-13 0.000303 0.000511 0.000803 0.001227 0.001807 0.002556 0.003578
2025-04-20 0.000281 0.000494 0.000800 0.001253 0.001885 0.002715 0.003860
2025-04-27 0.000259 0.000474 0.000791 0.001270 0.001950 0.002856 0.004121
2025-05-04 0.000232 0.000443 0.000762 0.001256 0.001971 0.002936 0.004303
2025-05-11 0.000206 0.000410 0.000729 0.001233 0.001977 0.002995 0.004456
2025-05-18 0.000190 0.000394 0.000720 0.001247 0.002035 0.003130 0.004715
2025-05-25 0.000174 0.000377 0.000709 0.001256 0.002087 0.003256 0.004966
2025-06-01 0.000152 0.000345 0.000671 0.001221 0.002073 0.003287 0.005085
2025-06-08 0.000132 0.000315 0.000635 0.001186 0.002055 0.003312 0.005195
2025-06-15 0.000120 0.000299 0.000620 0.001184 0.002086 0.003407 0.005404
2025-06-22 0.000110 0.000284 0.000606 0.001183 0.002119 0.003504 0.005618
2025-06-29 0.000098 0.000267 0.000587 0.001172 0.002135 0.003576 0.005796
2025-07-06 0.000087 0.000248 0.000563 0.001150 0.002133 0.003621 0.005934
2025-07-13 0.000083 0.000244 0.000566 0.001175 0.002206 0.003779 0.006241
2025-07-20 0.000078 0.000238 0.000564 0.001191 0.002265 0.003917 0.006520
2025-07-27 0.000070 0.000223 0.000546 0.001178 0.002275 0.003980 0.006688